Oil prices continue to rise due to Russian supply risks (Primorsk, Ust-Luga, Kirishi) and a weakening dollar ahead of the Fed's potential 25 bps cut. Key points: Brent $67.20 / WTI $62.94; drone attacks potentially reducing Russian exports to India and China; weak Chinese data (factories/retail) but refinery throughput and apparent demand are rising; sentiment is also influenced by trade tariff news (G7/US) and concerns about US fuel demand. In essence, there is a supply risk premium lifting prices, while the mixed demand side is holding back any further rally.
Future Outlook: The short-term bias is likely to be moderately upward as long as the Russian disruption has not fully resolved and the USD remains soft post-Fed. A dovish Fed (-25 bps + further signals) will support oil; a cautious message could stall the rally. A rapid recovery of Primorsk/Ust-Luga operations ⇒ shrinking risk premium (prices could correct); Escalation of attacks ⇒ Increased risk premium (pushing prices higher). Things to watch: Confirmation of Russia's export status, FOMC results and Powell's tone, US-China talks, and the release of US fuel demand data. These four factors are likely to direct the next movement. (ads)
The oil price at the time of writing was $67.12.
DISCLAIMER
Note: This article is analytical and not a definitive reference. Consider fundamental and technical developments in trading before making any investment decisions.
Source: Newsmaker.id
Silver prices are currently trading above $74.49 per ounce in the US session on Friday (December 26th), extending a remarkable rally that began several months ago, fueled by geopolitical tensions and ...
Gold reached an all-time high, continuing its extraordinary rally fueled by geopolitical tensions and a weakening US dollar. Spot gold prices rose 1.2% to above $4,530 per ounce, influenced by tension...
Gold reached an all-time high, continuing its extraordinary rally fueled by geopolitical tensions and a weakening US dollar. Spot gold prices rose 1.2% to above $4,530 per ounce, influenced by tension...
World oil prices moved slightly higher in today's trading, with Brent rising slightly to around US$62.3 per barrel and WTI around US$58.4 per barrel, as the market weighed geopolitical tensions in Ven...
Silver continues its rally, reaching a record high of around $75 per ounce, driven by a combination of strong industrial demand, tight supply, and growing expectations of a Fed interest rate cut. This...
Silver prices are currently trading above $74.49 per ounce in the US session on Friday (December 26th), extending a remarkable rally that began several months ago, fueled by geopolitical tensions and a weakening US dollar. This surge was fueled by...
Silver prices are currently trading above $74,579 per ounce during the American session on Friday (December 26th), extending the remarkable rally that began several months ago. This increase is part of a bullish trend that is increasingly evident,...
US equity futures remained sluggish on Friday (December 26th), expected to remain in thin trading after the market closed for a holiday. Contracts tracking the S&P 500 and the Dow held near their record highs amid expectations that continued...
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that achieving 2% inflation is getting closer, although real inflation remains low. Ueda emphasized...
The White House has ordered U.S. military forces to focus almost entirely on enforcing a Venezuelan oil "quarantine" for at least the next two...
As quarter-end and especially year-end approaches, financial markets often experience a phenomenon known as window dressing—where investment...
US President Donald Trump used a series of social media posts to outline his views on inflation, interest rates, and Federal Reserve (FED)...